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6 min read

Cash-flow forecasting for seasonal businesses

If revenue arrives in waves, your forecast needs to plan for the troughs. A simple 13-week model can change how you run the year.

Portrait of Eleanor Whitmore, Founding Partner, CPA

Eleanor Whitmore

Founding Partner, CPA

Cover image for the article “Cash-flow forecasting for seasonal businesses”

Seasonal businesses face a unique challenge: the months that generate most of the revenue are rarely the months with the biggest bills. A rolling cash-flow forecast turns that uncertainty into a plan.

Build a 13-week view

Map expected receipts and payments week by week for the next quarter. Update it every Monday with actuals — the habit matters more than the precision.

Plan for the trough

Agree credit facilities while trading is strong, stagger supplier payments and time investments for the months when cash is naturally high.

With a simple model in place, quiet months stop being a source of stress and become part of a predictable annual rhythm.

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